🍻Friday Free Bet: Free Prop Bet for Cardinals/Cowboys

“Great team beats middle-of-the-pack team at home”

The Giants’ defense showed up a few times in the Red Zone, but for the most part, were diced up between the 20s and the constant pressure on Daniel Jones was just too much to make this much of a game. Injuries for the Giants didn’t help, but I’m not sure a couple of linemen + Saquon would have been enough here.

No surprises on the offensive side of the ball for SF. YAC from Deebo, great running and versatility as a pass catcher from CMC, and contributions from Kittle, Mitchell, Bell, and Jennings. I still want to see them play another good team.

The 49ers have the Cardinals at home next week (should be around -14) so we likely will have to wait one more week before we can see just how good this team actually is. The following week though… Sunday Night Football should be a dooooozy.

Not a bad spot for a regrouping by the Giants with a Monday Night game up next giving them 11 days between contests. 1-2 is NOT that big of a hole to dig out of and an NFC wildcard spot still has to be the goal. Some good injury updates over the next week and a half will be helpful.

Where we’re at on both teams:

SF: San Francisco has dropped 30 points three times to start the season, is a top-five team on both sides of the ball, and is the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl. We’re still not sure if they have a good player at the most important position on the field.

NYG: This is fair play by Nick. If you take out the context of how bad the Giants looked at times, a 1-2 start was always going to be the most likely record for the Giants after three games. They’ve gotten rag-dolled by two great teams and dropped 31 second-half points on one of the worst teams in the league. Outside of the injuries, I’m not sure we’ve learned very much about this squad yet. Get healthy, sort out the WRs, and win some games.

Last week: Zach Wilson under 178.5 passing yards 💰💰💰

This week, our friend at 4for4 has us fading his namesake:

James Conner (ARZ) under 56.5 rushing yards (-115 DK/MGM/CZRS/B365)

“The Cowboys are #1 in Run D DVOA and allowing just 3.56 yards per carry despite playing against Saquon Barkley, Breece Hall, and Dalvin Cook. Neither Cook nor Hall even crossed 10 rushing yards. The Cardinals have the 5th-worst adjusted line yards per carry (3.26) according to FO, just one spot ahead of the Jets who were stymied by the Cowboys last week and more than a full yard worse than the Giants.

The matchup is super tough but Conner also faces massive game script concerns. The Cardinals were winning against the Giants for a big portion of the game and were competitive against Washington. I would be flabbergasted if that is the case here. Maybe they try to run the ball to start but it seems unlikely they have much success, and if they fall behind by 2+ scores as the spread suggests, it's unlikely they stick with it.”

Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Obviously, follow Connor on Twitter for more NFL betting content, and get in the 4for4 Discord if you want to see everything he’s betting each week.

…and if you’re around this afternoon and want more free prop bets, be sure to check out the live stream on the 4for4Bets YouTube:

Last week’s teaser rankings did a pretty nice job. Nearly all the math-based legs got home, with the Bears somehow squandering things at the end vs. Tampa (I did rank that one dead last for the record).

The official teaser of the week for Sunday morning was a clean no-doubter that you could have bet a straight-up ATS parlay on instead (hell even a pleaser cashed).

Also sitting on half a winner from Monday Night Football with the Steelers taking care of business and leaving me with the Ravens to finish things up.

This week has a bunch that are sitting awfully close to being in range. The Rams, Titans, and Falcons are all three-point underdogs and I would not blame you one bit for throwing them into a teaser even if they stay there.

Not as many as last week, but as always, keep an eye on bets that may move into range, I’ll list anything that’s going into the teaser pool on Sunday morning.

Week 3 Teaser Rankings (Best to Worst)

I’ll check back in on Sunday morning with the bets for the week, good luck if you’re betting on college ball tomorrow, and do try to enjoy this gorgeous fall weather! Autumn is here!