🍻Friday Free Bet: Free Prop Bet for Jets/Cowboys

This will be an exceedingly hilarious season for the Vikings if the passing offense continues to play at this high of a level and they still finish dead last in the division thanks to like 60 turnovers. 

The betting market was correct, the Vikings were the right side and anyone with an early enough price got the backdoor they likely deserved. The turnovers likely had Minnesota backers pulling their hair out, but all’s well that ends well.

The over steam proved correct as well, but that was a bit more in doubt early. We even saw a little money coming in on the under 24 (2H) at halftime. That, and any hopes of keeping this game out of the 50s quickly disappeared with 21 points in the first 6 minutes coming out of half.

Minnesota: The Vikings were not terribly efficient on the ground but moved with ease for most of the game through the air. Cousins spread the ball around (seven players with multiple targets) and Justin Jefferson showed that he’s come a long way since last year’s disappointing performance vs. Darius Slay. I’m sure the win would have been nice, but stats are an ok consolation prize. Going forward, Vikings’ team totals against beatable defensive backfields might be the look rather than taking them ATS. Addison is setting the bar for this rookie WR class so far.

The defense sacked Jalen Hurts four times and did a half-decent job against A.J. Brown, but looked utterly hopeless against the run once the Eagles started really feeding the backs. D'Andre Swift ended up with as many carries (28) as opposing RB Alexander Mattison had yards. A short week for the Minny defense against a good offensive line helped, but hats off to Swift.

Philadelphia: Although they did find Devonta Smith for a nice gain and scored a couple on the ground, Jalen Hurts didn’t look nearly as effective as he did last year when he was really humming. I’m not sure if it’s the other teams’ defenses adjusting to him, the new offensive coordinator, or a little of both. They put up 34 on a bad defense at home, but if I’m a Cowboys fan, I’d be licking my chops for the week 9 tilt.

Jalen Carter has the advantage of the extra game over his contemporaries but has moved into a co-favorite in the betting markets for defensive player of the year. The beat-up secondary had its struggles last night, but the pass rush and run stop up front looked really good at times. The turnovers helped.

Keep an eye on the injuries this coming week. After being down a starting corner, safety, and linebacker heading into the game, the Eagles’ Avonte Maddox was injured and looks to miss some time. Road game against Tampa next week, Baker didn’t look great in week one, but it’s still a team with two very good WRs

The Silver lining for this: Philly doesn’t play for 11 days, hopefully plenty of time to get some guys healthy.

Last week: Joe Mixon under 21.5 receiving yards 💰

I bet it. I hope you bet it. Excited to bet another one from Connor.

This week, our friend at 4for4 has us on:

Zach Wilson under 178.5 passing yards

“The number is low. I get it. Yet he has gone under this number in more than half of his career games played. We also now have Zach Wilson paired with arguably the worst OC in the league in Nathaniel Hackett against a Cowboys defense that we projected to be elite yet found a way to exceed expectations in Week 1. On top of this, Zach Wilson was getting minimal reps with the starters all offseason and they now have to scramble to prepare for one of the best defenses in the NFL.

I anticipate the Jets going extremely run-heavy here with Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook and even if they fall behind, they know they can't just let Wilson sit back and chuck it because he is so turnover-prone. On top of a stout Cowboys defense, I expect this game to be a snooze fest. The Jets' defense is awesome and should keep the game close enough so that there isn't an immense negative game script. Even if there is, I could see them still not letting Wilson sling it.”

Obviously, follow Connor on Twitter for more NFL betting content, and get in the 4for4 Discord if you want to see everything he’s betting each week.

Last week saw a ton of the teaser legs get there with basically only the Steelers dropping the ball. As I’ve said in the past, I usually don’t put too many of these bets in until Sunday but I like to monitor the games that fall in the “Wong Teaser” area ahead of time.

Last week:

Lots of options this week, and a couple I may have to avoid just due to some bets I’ve already made on those teams.

Here’s everything that qualifies right now, ordered by which legs I like the most: