Week 2 NFL Best Bets: Sides, Totals, Moneylines and Props

Doing it all year, 8 PM EST Wednesday LIVE and available as a podcast Thursday mornings: we went through every game.

Games start soon and you’ve got things to do, but if you want a quick take on one or two games you’re waffling on, there are timestamps in the description, so you can jump to where you want to be. Drop your best bets in the comments if you want to be congratulated/roasted next week.

Bets so far this week:

Indianapolis +100

I pounded the table for this one all week, and still make them a favorite in my numbers. It’s the first-ever NFL road game for the rookie but, Anthony Richardson looked comfortable out there last week, found his top weapon in Pittman plenty, and should again have chances to use his legs here. Zach Moss is healthy and starting in the backfield and I expect Josh Downs to see a ton of targets again (and hopefully more than three catches) this week out of the slot.

While the Texans got some good news with John Metchie slated to make his NFL debut, they will also be down yet another offensive lineman with Laremy Tunsil out for today’s game. On top of that, C.J. Stroud is banged up and honestly, the Colts’ defense looked pretty decent last week hosting the Jags. PFF gave DeForest Buckner the second-highest pass-rushing grade last week.

New England +134

I suppose we’ve crowned the Dolphins as the best offense in the league after last week’s performance. This is a massive step up in opposing defenses. Despite losing, the Pats looked very good in stifling the Eagles offense as Mac Jones attempted to mount their comeback last week, grading out well across the board on both sides of the ball. I assumed I’d have to give New England an upgrade on offense since they actually hired an OC this year and they earned it for the most part.

I played some +3 as well when it popped its head up on Wednesday and would advocate for that as well if some late Miami money pushed it back there, but I’m fine taking Belichick moneyline at home with the Dolphins on the road for the 2nd straight week.

Tennessee/LAC over 45.5 -105

This one is simple: at least in my head. The Chargers didn’t really push the ball deep and still had a fair amount of offensive success last week. They will now face a Tennessee defense that ruled out two starting coverage pieces in Kristian Fulton and Amani Hooker. With Ekeler out and these injuries, if the Chargers don’t aggressively attack the Titans’ secondary, maybe Kellen Moore gets a downgrade.

Tennessee just looked sloppy offensively last week, and still almost won. Three red zone possessions with no touchdowns, three turnovers, and a couple of dropped passes kept them from looking like a threat to Jacksonville in this division.

Maybe we’ll just call it pre-season week four for the Titans and assume they can take some of the Miami film and move the ball this week. I have their offense graded highly enough that they should be able to score in the 20s here. Best case scenario is the Chargers leading and a negative game state forcing them to lean more into the air game.

Detroit team total over 26.5 -110

A group came in hard on the under in this game, pushing it from 51 down to 47 or lower on Monday. I still think that may have gone a bit too far, but I’m going to be the buyback here in a little different manner by just taking the Lions to score 27 instead of relying on a Seattle offense that looked a little out of sorts.

The secondary for Seattle is getting healthier, but I just don’t see them having much success with a bottom-five pass rush up front. If Goff isn’t pressured, he’s very good. Between the Lions protection unit and the makeup of the Seattle defense, I expect Goff to excel (may have a few bucks on LaPorta anytime TD +290). I’ll even post this tweet about Goff to prove I don’t believe in jinxes:

Teaser: Buffalo -1.5/Dallas -2.5

Prefer dogs, but these are some nice home favorites against offenses that took some injuries last week and will be adjusting on the fly still.

-Goes without saying that Zach Wilson is in for a must tougher test this week vs. Dan Quinn’s Cowboys defense.

-Las Vegas will be without Jimmy G’s favorite target, Jakobi Meyers, who saw 10 targets before exiting with a concussion. Maybe the Bills can bless us with fewer than 4 turnovers this week in a bit of an important home game.

I ranked ‘em Friday and obviously will be combining both of these with Green Bay as well and adding a touch of bonus Indy liability too. If you have any teaser questions, you know where to find me.

Noonan was kind enough to give us a winner last week with Cincinnati’s Logan Wilson over 7.5 tackles & assists at +120.

It’s Sunday morning and I bugged him for another free one for the email crowd. He didn’t disappoint.

Julian Love (Seahawks) Over 5.5 Tackles + assists (+110, DK or MGM)

“I didn't play Julian Love in Week 1 because I wanted to see how the playing time shook out, but Love played every Week 1 snap for Seattle and finished with 9 TAs. They ran a lot of three-safety looks, but Love's playing time is strong for now, with Jamal Adams still out for Week 2. Love played 40% of his snaps in the box, which is ideal for a safety. I have Love for 6.27 TAs in this up-tempo spot. Playable to -130 at 5.5”

This is one of ELEVEN he put in the Discord this week. Hop in there and bug Connor or Ryan about getting you a discount if you want to access their premium channels. They’re ALWAYS running some sort of promo. There are even a few ways to get things for free by signing up with some of their partners.