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News 📰

• The Commanders are working on bringing back the old logo for some merchandise celebrating former greats.

• Kyle Shanahan is apparently (and probably rightfully) NOT on the hot seat.

• Someone dropped $3.1 million on the Eagles’ moneyline this week at Circa Kentucky

• Belichick to a college team is looking more and more realistic but there are rumors that he has some very particular demands.

• The Chiefs are trying a new left tackle.

A Simple Task: Beat Joe Burrow

Injuries 🤕

• LT Trent Williams, DE Joey Bosa, & LB Dre Greenlaw are out for the 49ers

• Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III has been ruled out for week 14.

• The Cowboys’ WRs look good to go. Both CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks practiced on Friday.

• Miami will be without RB Raheem Mostert (hip)

• The Jets will be without LB CJ Mosely and CB Sauce Gardner on defense, as well as RB Breece Hall. Allen Lazard will be activated from the IR before the game.

• Nate Hobbs and Zamir White are out for the Raiders. Alexander Mattison looks unlikely as well. The AOC illness scare has passed; he was a full go on Friday and is reportedly fine.

• While DeVonta Smith and Darius Slay are playing, the Eagles will be without Dallas Goedert and Reed Blankenship.

• The Buccaneers will again have a mess of defensive injuries, including S Mike Edwards, LB KJ Britt, OLD Markees Watts, and CB Troy Hill. They’ve all be ruled out. RB Bucky Irving sounds like he’s going to play.

• WR George Pickens is listed as questionable, having a hamstring injury, but he’ll try to give it a go.

• Giants’ wideout Malik Nabers is questionable after not practicing on Friday. He is fighting a hip flexor. It sounds as if he’d be limited if he did play.

• The Saints are getting a little healthier with offensive linemen Cesar Ruiz, Erik McCoy & Lucas Patrick all back and playing this week.

• The Vikings will be without CB Stephon Gilmore

• For the Bills: Keon Coleman is a game-time decision, and Dalton Kincaid is expected to be out

• Ryan Bates, Elijah Hicks, and Roschon Johnson remain out for the Bears. DJ Moore and D’Andre Swift are playing.

• WR Cedric Tillman and OT Jed Wills are again out for the Browns.

• WR Mecole Hardman is questionable for Sunday night for the Chiefs after hurting his knee in practice.

• Chargers’ rookie WR Ladd McConkey will be a true game-time decision.

For the Latest Injury Updates, be sure to have the Bleacher Nation Fantasy App

Weather ⛈

• JAX@TEN: the chances of rain have continued to taper off, now looking at around 20%. Likely some showers here and there, but not a washout by any means.

• CLE@PIT: No snow for the rematch, but it appears that it’ll be pretty windy in Pittsburgh. 15 mph winds with gusts in the mid-twenties.

• NO@NYG: Now seeing the wind forecast for the Meadowlands kicking up to 15 mph+ with some stronger gusts

Situational 📆

• NYJ@MIA: Miami has extra rest after playing on Thanksgiving

• NO@NYG: The Giants also have a rest advantage after their Thursday game

• CLE@PIT: The Browns are on short rest coming off their Monday night loss and are also on a back-to-back road game in this rematch from two weeks ago

• LV@TB: The Raiders have extra rest, having played Friday, but are also playing their second straight road game.

• SEA@ARI: the Seahawks are playing the road for the 2nd straight week.

• CHI@SF: The Bears have extra rest off the Thanksgiving game but are traveling again for the 2nd week (of three, they’ll head to Minny next).

• KC@LAC: The Chiefs have extra rest after playing on Friday afternoon

• CIN@DAL: Dallas has a massive layoff from playing on Thanksgiving morning to getting the MNF game.

• No one is coming off the bye this week; all 32 teams play on Thanksgiving week.

• Baltimore, Denver, Indy, Houston, New England, and Washington are on bye.

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Sunday Bets

I updated my numbers again this morning just to double-check, and most things are being pounded into shape, so I likely won’t have much to add from the positions I took earlier in the week. The worst part of week 14? There are essentially zero teaser options. Just Seattle +2.5 on the road in Arizona with nothing to pair it with.

The second worst part of week 14 is figuring out the wifi on vacation. Tough thing to complain about, but I enjoy doing the newsletter and writing about football. I just want an hour or so in the morning with my laptop before sitting poolside all day and the tech wasn’t loving me this morning.

Jets/Dolphins over 44.5

Breece Hall being out looks bad for this on the surface, but I've got more of my eye on the secondary injuries for both teams. The Jets were fairly efficient on offense to start the game last week, and as I’ve been harping on for a few weeks now, Tua has been VERY good since returning. This was a Jets defense that I had high hopes for over the summer, but currently, I rate them in the bottom 10. As silly as this may sound to say out loud, getting Allen Lazard back is a nice bump for the Jets offense.

Kansas City -4

I dunno, man. I make this -6 and don’t really give that much of a bump for the extra time to prepare for Kansas City. I was wildly unimpressed with the Chargers offense against the Falcons last week. The defensive performance was a bit inflated by Kirk Cousins deciding to switch teams mid-game and continually throw the ball directly at defenders. I don’t see the Bolts getting away with in against Reid and Spags.

Pittsburgh/Cleveland under 44 -115

Dropping a bit now, maybe in part because of the weather, I just thought this was too much of an adjustment from last time these two teams clashed. It took some wildness to get over the total in the crazy TNF matchup we saw and despite what we saw vs the Broncos, I’d expect a tightened up defensive gameplan from Tomlin in the instant revenge rematch grudge match spot.

Bears +3.5 -120

Dead cat bounce may not really be something you can put a firm number on but, there weren’t exactly droves of players rushing to the front to defend Eberflus after he was let go. I think I (along with plenty of others based on the market movement) have just adjusted the 49ers down much more aggressively after the rash of injuries and how poor the QB play has been from Purdy.

Raiders +7 -120

Gross one, but they all are this time of year. There are some injuries for the Tampa defense and O’Connell hasn’t been an abject failure when given the chance. Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers is a pretty decent one-two punch all things considered. Tampa isn’t as beat up as they were at times early in the year, but I still have them rated as a bottom 10 defense as currently rostered.

Saints -5

Dexter Lawrence is out, the Saints offensive line is getting healthier, and Malik Nabers sounds like his best-case scenario is being “limited if available at all.” On paper, my raw numbers make this roughly the same as the market, but I sense there’s plenty of blowout potential for the Saints and can make a case that this Giants offense is one of the worst you’ll see this week if Nabers is out.

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My Power Ratings Update for the Week

Week 15 Lookahead Lines

The Deep Dive Week 14 Preview Show

Deep Dive Week 14 Preview Podcast (Apple | Spotify)

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