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My Week Eleven Power Ratings Update

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Lookaheads

How are last week’s looking? Well, I thought the Bears would be able to beat a pretty bad Patriots team and maybe come into the Packers game looking lean and mean (did not happen), so Bears +3 is pretty underwater.

The totals are looking much better as they always tend to. LA/NE is moving up (I got o43, it’s currently 43.5), HOU/DAL under is also moving in the correct direction for me, again just down a half point. I’m a little surprised I lost some equity on the over 49 for Seattle/SF with all the good news for the offensive playmakers in that game. The really good one, to counteract having the Bears, is grabbing Minny/Tenny under 42.5, currently sitting at 39.5 across the board.

This Week:

Tampa Bay -3 (chances of Mike Evans/Drew Lock sightings)

Denver/Las Vegas under 41.5 (I think this should be under 40)

Arizona/Seattle over 48.5 (becoming a Kyler maxi).

Keeping an eye on:

weather

There will be high winds in Miami, but please remember that the stadium design does a great job of keeping them out. I don’t think they will affect the game.

There are small chances of rain in SEA@SF and GB@CHI, with some winds in the 15-20 range in the latter.

LAR@NE is looking like we’ll be seeing 30mph+ gusts and sustained winds in the 15+ range.

injuries

• Aaron Jones has been limited, but it seems like he should be good to go again.

• Tank Bigsby’s ankle injury has kept him on the sidelines, he expects to practice Friday though.

• Najee Harris missed a practice but it seems like he just needed a day to rest that ankle.

• Davante Adams (illness) has him missing practices.

• Keon Coleman and Amari Cooper (especially now that Kincaid has been ruled out)

• Tyreek Hill’s wrist keeps coming up, and he’s now saying he’s going to need offseason surgery.

• Sam LaPorta was missing again on Friday, seems bad.

• George Kittle’s hammy had him missing on Wednesday, seems like he’s trending in

• Tee Higgins is Practicing! Expected to Play!

• OT Abe Lucas and WR DK Metcalf both practiced in full on Thursday…

Also excited for Bears-Packers, even if the Bears are starting to stink. All-time trash talking rivalry to be sure.

Week 11 Teaser Rankings (Best to Worst)

Congrats if you teased anything normal last week. KC obviously got dicey, but any price you could tease through 7 one way or the other got home, hell I think all of the underdog prices even won outright (Miami, Arizona, Pittsburgh).

There is less juicy slate this week, but there are still some nice ones to be had.

If Mahomes as a dog is such a “must-bet”, then of course we gotta love him at +8/8.5. Dallas looking inept is making Houston looking very tantalizing as well. Miami is harder for me to trust, but I struggle to see Vegas under a new OC looking markedly different. Same goes for Atlanta and Cincinnati, who have had some uneven performances this year.

See ya Sunday morning! Have a GREAT WEEKEND!