Good morning, and sorry, Germany! Starting the day off with the final international game of the year, and it’s a stinker. For the record, I bet a small Giants -3.5 1H here with the (very unsubstantiated) rumors of the Panthers having some illness going around the locker room.

News 📰

• One of the biggest fines of the week was handed out to Dolphins RB Raheem Mostert for lowering his helmet.

• Dak Prescott’s season is likely over; he’s possibly having surgery to repair his hamstring.

• The Rams may be getting very healthy at just the right time to make a run

BLEACHER NATION FANTASY

Injuries 🤕

• The Texans activated WR Nico Collins but then immediately listed him as questionable. WR Tank Dell is expected to play.

• Trevor Lawrence is now officially ruled out; Mac Jones will go. Jaguars WRs Brian Thomas Jr. (chest) and Gabe Davis (shoulder) are both expected to play

• WR Drake London is expected to play.

• 49ers WR Deebo Samuel is expected to play today, joining CMC as the 49ers offense gets closer to full strength.

• Micah Parsons will return for the Dallas defense today

• Keon Coleman is out for the Bills with Amari Cooper also a GTD

• Michael Pittman is out with back and finger injuries for the Colts

• No Adam Thielen yet for the Panthers

For the Latest Injury Updates, be sure to have the Bleacher Nation Fantasy App

Weather ⛈

• New England @ Chicago - looking like steady winds 15-20 with gusts as high as 30+ mph. Also a chance a rain.

• Minnesota @ Jacksonville - Chances of rain appear to be increasing, maybe around 50% of so. Winds 15-20 mph

• Pittsburgh @ Washington - 20-30% chance of rain

• The Coldest game of the weekend may be the morning tilt in Germany (39°), the warmest spot with be Tampa Bay (86°)

Situational 📆

• NYG/CAR - Both teams head into their bye after the game in Germany

• NE/CHI - New England is traveling for the second straight week and third in four games after making a trip back from London just 19 days ago.

• DEN/KC - Kansas City is coming off overtime on MNF, Denver is on a back-to-back travel spot

• SF/TB - The 49ers are off the bye week. Meanwhile, Tampa is on a short week, having played last Monday.

• PIT/WAS - The Commanders are coming off their bye week

• TEN/LAC - The Titans are at a travel disadvantage, having traveled to Buffalo, Detroit, and now LA since Oct 20th.

• NYJ/ARI - The Jets have extra rest after playing on Thursday night

• DET/HOU - Houston has the rest advantage coming off TNF, Detroit is on a back-to-back

• MIA/LAR - The Dolphins are on their second straight road game.

Sunday Bets

Bears -6 -115

One of the biggest disagreements with the market for me in a bit. I’m not excited to go to war with a team that looked pretty lackluster vs the Cardinals, but I think this is a fairly large difference in coaching. While Jonathan Gannon is proving to be a decent coach and game planner in Arizona, the Mayo hire is New England is looking like a bit of a mistake so far. It’s a team that has continued to get worse on defense and should be a nice matchup for the Bears rookie QB. I also show pretty large matchup advantages for the Chicago defense, especially in the coverage and pass rush.

Atlanta/New Orleans Over 46.5

I already took this as a look-ahead at a higher price, but going back for more, even with the injuries to the New Orleans offense. I think Carr was likely rushed back and has a chance to look a bit better against a below-average defense. I’ll be relying on some backup receivers for the Saints (possibly in garbage time), but I fully expect the Falcons to be able to deploy plenty of Bijan here again. Drake London is expected to play and as currently rostered, I have these two defenses both in my bottom ten.

Colts +4

A much easier spot for the Indianapolis offense compared to last week’s loss. Hosting Buffalo in a spot where the Bills have MUCH bigger fish to fry next week (hosting Kansas City). I currently have Minnesota as a top-3 defense and Buffalo as my 20th-ranked squad. This is a talented bunch for the Colts, and they should be able to keep pace with the Bills, just like we saw with Miami last week. I think we can see another Bills win by a FG, it’s my most likely outcome here.

6-point teaser: KC -1.5/LAC -1.5

An AFC West “get it done on D” teaser. Leaving out both of the the QBs altogether, these are two top defenses at home versus inferior QBs in games with low totals. The steam on Denver to get it down to +7.5 checks out, being a divisional game and all, but I still like KC to win by a TD or so. Will Levis coming back doesn’t really move the needle for me in the other game and as I said, the Chargers defense may actually be the best in the division (league?) right now. I also played a small bet on the TEN/LAC under 39.5; I make the fair total like 36 here.

SNF: Under 49.5

I don’t think Nico Collins plays. Houston is in a good spot situationally but is likely outclassed in the coaching matchup. With Jameson Williams back, maybe we see some deep shots again, but despite the loss last week, I still have this Houston defense rated highly and expect them to be able to limit the Lions’ big plays at least. I also think there are quite a few scenarios where the Houston offense just looks lost again and doesn’t get to 20 points, allowing the Lions to just grind clock for most of the 2nd half with their run game. Lions 22 - Texans 16.

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In case you missed it and need that last little push to bet (or not bet) a game today, we went over the entire slate one by one. Time stamps for your perusing pleasure.

My Power Ratings Update for the Week

Week Eleven Lookahead Lines

The Deep Dive Week Ten Preview Show

Deep Dive Week Ten Preview Podcast (Apple | Spotify)

4for4 Free Player Props Livestream

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