Once again, as you fumble around with your coffee trying to sort out the early London game: It’s on the NFL Network. You can also find it on Fubo, YouTubeTV, NFL+, your local Fox (if you’re in Chicago), or CBS (if you’re in Jax).

Injuries

Big week for QB moves again with Levis back, Carr out, and Drake Maye and Aiden O’Connell getting the call. Still just a massive amount of running back uncertainty on the injury reports heading into the weekend as well.

• The Colts will start QB Anthony Richardson but will be without RB Jonathan Taylor again this week. It's a weird week for Indy, but it seems that both WRs will also play, with Pittman and Downs very much trending in.

• Panthers WR Dionte Johnson is expected to play.

• The Giants will again be without rookie star WR Malik Nabers

• Raiders WR Jakobi Meyers is doubtful for Sunday, leaving them down their top two WR targets. It looks as if RB Zamir White could be out as well.

• RB Devin Singletary it OUT for NYG

• RB Brian Robinson is OUT for the Commanders

• RB Chase Brown is good to go for the Bengals

• RB Joe Mixon will start for the Texans

• RB Rachaad White is doubtful for the Bucs

• RB Rhamondre Stevenson has been ruled out for the Pats

• RB Bijan Robinson popped up on the injury report but will be a full go vs Carolina.

Weather

• Green Bay hosting Arizona should be rainy, maybe heavy at times. It doesn't appear that we’ll see much for winds to go with it, though.

• Houston and New England should also see some rain throughout the game.

• There may be some heavier winds in Nashville for IND@TEN, but for now, it looks more likely that they’ll top out in the 12-15 mph range.

Situational

• The Bears opted to fly out to London Monday night to adjust to the time, while the Jaguars arrived on Friday. They normally leave Thursday night and arrive Friday morning but did see some slight delays in that due to the hurricane. The Bears head to the bye after this, while the Jags will stay in London and play another international game.

• Tampa Bay is off extra rest from playing TNF playing New Orleans who just played Monday night. Tampa Bay is on a back to back travel spot, but both games were divisional and not massive distances.

• The Cardinals are on the second week of b2b road games heading to Green Bay

• Tennessee is coming off their bye to host Indy. The Colts are also on a back to back road trip.

• Philadelphia is also hosting while coming off their bye, with the dysfunctional Browns coming to town. Cleveland is on the second straight week of playing on the road after playing in DC last week.

• The Chargers are off a bye but head on the road to face Denver.

• Atlanta has a rest advantage when they head to Carolina, coming off a TNF win.

• The Lions are off their bye week, hosting the Cowboys who head to the bye next week.

• MNF: Buffalo is in a back-to-back travel spot heading to the Meadowlands to play Jeff Ulbrich and the Jets

Sunday Bets

Tampa Bay -3.5 -105

I faded the “widowmaker” spot last week, trying to go against the massive rest advantage that comes with the TNF/MNF difference but ride with it this week. The Bucs defense still isn’t at full strength, but Todd Bowles and his defensive scheme against a rookie QB might be enough to overcome some missing personnel, especially considering the state of the New Orleans offensive line right about now.

Dallas +3 +107

It's not an easy click, considering the health of the Lions. They’ll have nearly everyone back, off their bye, and Dallas is down a handful of pass rushers. This is still a road game, and despite some issues for the Cowboys, I just can’t make the Lions nearly 5+ points better than them on a neutral field. Strictly a numbers play but also a secondary that’s been picked on at times, even in wins. Hopefully, it is a nice matchup for CeeDee and the tight ends at home.

Green Bay Team Total Over 26.5 -112

The big number here, but this is my 3rd ranked offense going up against my 31st-ranked defense, and this total has been bet down all week. I looked at a the full game over as well, but I preferred this even though the Cardinals’ offense pushing Green Bay to keep the foot on the gas would be helpful. In a weird season that’s already seen a trip to South America, several games of backup QB play, and some tough defenses (MIN, TEN), the Packers are still averaging 3.6 red zone trips per game.

Vegas TT under 16.5 -108

Not a big number, and despite some pass rusher injuries for the Steelers, I’m fine with this, considering the Raiders have a -0.184 EPA/play the past two weeks without Adams and now go to a worse QB versus another tough defensive unit. They were able to eclipse this with a garbage time score last week, but needed a 2-point conversion to do it. I’ll take my chances against AOC.

Philly -8.5 -106

Hasn’t been a great idea laying big numbers this year, but considering what I’ve had to adjust in my Cleveland price, I make this now over -10 and would be remiss to leave it off the card with the fully healthy, rested Eagles at home hosting a team that’s spiraling the drain. Not sure where the buy low spot is for the Browns, but I don’t think it’s this week.

I also bet four lookahead prices for week seven on Friday if you missed it

We went over every game on Wednesday evening with Drew if you wanted some more info on a game I didn’t touch on here. Time stamps are in the descriptions. The podcast is also available for anyone who wants to listen instead.

One last thing: do me a favor and forward this email to someone you think may like a little more football in their life.