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News 📰

• Bears CB Tyrique Stevenson won’t start today as a disciplinary measure for last week’s shenanigans.

• The Lions are still looking at adding a pass rusher to help replace the injured Aidan Hutchinson ahead of the trade deadline.

• The NFL is fining Byron Young for his facemask on Sam Darnold (the one that wasn’t called)

Injuries 🤕

• Puka Nacua is expected to go

• Tee Higgins did not practice at all this week and is listed as Doubtful

• Drake Maye cleared concussion protocol and will start

• Jordan Love is expected to play today.

• Derek Carr is off the injury report and will play Sunday.

• Bryce Young will again get the nod with Andy Dalton’s thumb injury

• Mason Rudolph get another start for the Titans due to Levis’ shoulder

• Tyjae Spears is out, and Tony Pollard is a GTD for the Titans; they could be down to their third-string RB for this one.

• T.J. Hockenson is off the injury report and will make his season debut this week.

• Brian Robinson Jr. is expected to go for the Commanders

• Brian Thomas Jr and Gabe Davis are game-time decisions for the Jaguars. RB Tank Bigsby is expected to play, and Travis Etienne is also a GTD.

• Despite some optimism early this week, DK Metcalf is still out.

For the Latest Injury Updates, be sure to have the Bleacher Nation Fantasy App

Weather ⛈

• Detroit @ Green Bay looks to be the first nasty one of the year where we get both rain and wind. Almost certainly raining for large portions of the game coupled with winds 15-20 and gusts in the 30s.

• Tampa Bay @ Kansas City (Monday Night) is looking like heavy rains as well, but we’ll know more about that tomorrow.

• New England @ Tennessee will see some winds close to the 15 MPH range, possibly stymieing the two prolific passers taking the field.

• Rain chances across Ohio dropped considerably, and both the Browns and Bengals games will have clear weather

Situational 📆

• DAL @ ATL - Dallas is on the second week of back-to-back travel weeks

• LV @ CIN - Raiders heading into their bye week

• LAC @ CLE - Cleveland is playing at home for the third straight week & heading into their bye

• WAS @ NYG - The Giants are on a short week coming off Monday Night

• NO @ CAR - New Orleans is traveling for the second week in a row

• CHI @ ARI - Chicago is playing back-to-back road games (and off a heartbreaker)

• DET @ GB - This will be the first time Detroit has played outdoors this year

• LAR @ SEA - The Rams are coming off extra rest off of Thursday night game.

• IND @ MIN - Vikings with extra rest coming off TNF

Sunday Bets

Struggled to find underdogs I liked this week. With Flacco in I show a little bit of value on the Colts and can’t get to the huge number with Kansas City either, but man it’s tough to trust the Indy and Tampa defenses against much better offensive units. So, chalky card for the most part:

Atlanta -3 -115

Even after this line has moved in the Falcons’ direction, I still make it bigger, considering the advantage Atlanta should have while on offense. Bland, Parsons, and maybe Diggs out keeping this Dallas defense very much below average while the offensive line continues to struggle and may be without guard Zach Martin. I don’t love the Atlanta’s defense but this isn’t the toughest test considering Dallas’ run game doesn't exist and they should be able to build coverages around taking CeeDee Lamb out of the picture.

Washington -4 -109

A rematch spot where we saw the Commanders get to the red zone a half dozen times in the first game. They won even without converting any of those opportunities, and while I’m a bit worried about that sort of thing (it happened to them again vs the Bears), this is still a bad Giants defense and I have been forced to upgrade the Washington defenders as the year has gone on. I don’t know if Dan Quinn is going to be an excellent head coach of not, but he’s certainly made an impact on this defense.

Rams -2 -102

I’m going to be upset if the Puka injury news was horseshit and he ends up sitting, but if that’s how this offense looked against a good defense last time out vs Minnesota, I’d imagine we see more of the same this week on the road against a Seattle defense that’s struggled in all phases. I’ll be playing some Kyren Williams props as well. This has been a sneaky bad run defense and if the Rams are working with a lead, he could get heavy usage.

Saints/Panthers over 43.5

Gross relying on Bryce Young, but he moved the ball a little early on against a wildly better defense last week and now plays at home against a Saints defense missing two top corners. The other half of the equation is Carolina giving up 33.9 points per game. I don’t know that the Saints get to that, but in the first matchup between these teams they cleared this total themselves.

Teaser: Eagles -1.5/Bears +7.5

I’ve been betting the Eagles a bit of late and won’t be stopping now. Great spot against a suspect defense with the entire Jags offense a game-time decision. The Bears are in a bit of a rough travel spot but are a much tougher defensive test for Kyler than last week’s Miami “defense”. It should be a good day for Caleb to bounce back against what I have as my 31st-rated D.

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Went over every game, as usual, this week if you wanted some last minute thoughts, time stamps in the video for your clicking pleasure.

My Power Ratings Update for the Week

Week Ten Lookahead Lines

The Deep Dive Week Nine Preview Show

Deep Dive Week Nine Preview Podcast (Apple | Spotify)

4for4 Free Player Props Livestream

One last thing, do me a favor and forward this email to someone you think may like a little more football in their life.