News 📰

• First and foremost, Patrick Mahomes’ ankle seems fine

• Kirk Cousins could quickly be on the outs and is a release candidate for next March

• Panthers HC Dave Canales announced that it’ll be Bryce Young the rest of the way

• Updated playoff picture after Baltimore clinched a spot

• Former Vikings star Adrian Peterson is facing some legal problems

Injuries 🤕

• CLE - Dorian Thompson Robinson is now the starting QB. Cedric Tillman remains out.

• CIN - DE Sam Hubbard is out, as is Sheldon Rankins, with his continued illness.

• DET - David Montgomery is listed as out since he hasn’t been placed on the IR yet. Brian Branch is questionable.

• CHI - G Ryan Bates is out with a concussion.

• ARI - Trey Benson is out, as is starting LT Paris Johnson

• CAR - WR Xavier Legette is out with a groin injury, Jalen Coker is expected to play.

• NE - CB Marcus Jones is out; both safeties are questionable.

• BUF - the defense has a handful of players listed as questionable, including both safeties and CB Rasul Douglas.

• PHI - AJ Brown is good to go. Bryce Huff will miss, though.

• WAS - TE Zach Ertz is looking like he’ll be playing today. DT Jonathan Allen is out.

• NYG - Drew Lock will start at QB with DeVito concussed. RB Tyrone Tracy is expected to play as well. LB Bobby Okereke (back) did not travel with the team.

• ATL - Michael Penix Jr will get the start at QB with Kirk Cousins benched.

• TEN - Mason Rudolph is in at Q,B with Levis headed to the bench. Tony Pollard is trending in.

• IND - WR Alec Pierce will miss the game with a concussion.

• LAR - TE Tyler Higbee is off the injury report and will make his season debut.

• NYJ - CB Michael Carter is out, and DT Quinnen Williams is questionable after not practicing all week.

• MIN - S Harrison Smith has been limited in practice. Stephon Gilmore will return this week at CB.

• SEA - Geno Smith, Zach Charbonnet, and Kenneth Walker are cleared to play

• SF - RB Isaac Guerendo is out as is OT Trent Williams.

• MIA - Jaylen Waddle seems unlikely to play, but Tyreek Hill is expected to.

• JAX - The Jags had a few offensive linemen limited in practice this week but come in with a clean injury report.

• LV - Aiden O’Connell is back at QB! His LG, Jordan Meredith, is doubtful, though.

• TB - TE Cade Otton is out, and so is Antoine Winfield.

• DAL - Micah Parson is dealing with an illness but is expected to play.

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Weather ⛈

• MIN @ SEA - Another rainy one in the Pacific Northwest. 90% chance of rain for this one.

• DET @ CHI - Winds of 15+ with gusts 20-30 on a cold day in Chicago

• NE @ BUF - The winds won’t be kicking up, thankfully, but the temps will hover around 10 degrees in this one.

Situational 📆

• NYG @ ATL - The Falcons have a shorter week, coming off an MNF game, which also means one fewer day to prep a new QB.

• NE @ BUF - The Patriots are on back to back travel weeks

• CLE @ CIN - The Browns play their third road game in four weeks

• DET @ CHI - the Bears played Monday and have a shorter week of rest/prep. This marks the first time the Lions have played outdoors since week 9.

• LAR @ NYJ - the Rams had 9 days to prep after the TNF win, but this is also their second straight week of travel heading cross country to New Jersey.

• MIN @ SEA - Vikings played Monday and have a short week for their trip to the coast

• JAX @ LV - the Raiders also played on Monday night and have one fewer days to prep

• SF @ MIA - San Fran last played on TNF, extra prep and rest time here

• TB @ DAL - Back to Back road games for the Bucs

Sunday Bets

It's a light week here with plenty of games that I can’t touch with a ten-foot pole! Still have a teaser from TNF pending with Cincy -1.5 to get it home. Otherwise just three REALLY ugly teams to bet on today (and a prop I like).

Giants +9

You can say that maybe a team is actively trying to lose games, but I’ll never argue that they’re trying to lose the cover. This is just so many points for an unknown rookie QB. The Giants’ defense has some pride left and doesn’t want to get shredded by a guy starting his first game.

Indy -3.5

Back to the well with the team that scarred my heart last week. Should be a better game for the Indianapolis defense against Mason Rudolph and one of my lowest graded offensive line units. I still make this price closer to -5 and won’t pass up an opportunity to bet against a Tennessee defense that I have falling as well.

Patriots Team Total over 16.5 -120

Maybe is takes some garbage time points (they all count the same), but this Bills defense isn’t playing well at all right now. I want to fade that somehow, but even at +14.5, I’m struggling to take the points here as the Pats defense has been equally terrible.

Bucky Irving over 62.5 rushing yards -115

Just a dream matchup after a big week against the Chargers. Indoors against what I have ranked as a historically bad run defense. Feels like a line that’s attainable in the first half if things shake out right.

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My Power Ratings Update for the Week

The Deep Dive Week Seven Preview Show

Deep Dive Week Seven Preview Podcast (Apple | Spotify)

4for4 Free Player Props Livestream

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