DraftKings is the official odds provider for the Deep Dive Newsletter

Thursday Night Football hopefully shut up my two least favorite subsets of NFL consumers: the folks who think football isn’t as good anymore, and the folks who think we should have 31 domes.

Having a winning bet surely adds to the experience (2nd half double dip as well on the live stream), but either way that was just an awesome divisional game. The Browns did an amazing job of keeping TJ Watt mostly off the stat sheet and, despite a hell of a game by Russell Wilson, got a gritty, mostly meaningless win.

I suppose Baltimore fans are probably pretty happy as well.

ICYMI

My Week 12 Power Ratings Updates

Deep Dive Week 12 Betting Preview

Also in podcast form ( apple | spotify )

4for4 Player Prop Livestream

We have a new DFS game with a $250 Sweat Free first play bonus

a favor: please subscribe to the YouTube channel while you’re here

Lookaheads for Week 13

Good news, I solved lookahead betting. I just need to figure out which teams are benching their QBs next week and which teams will be getting star WRs back. So from here on out, we’re on a gravy train with biscuit wheels.

Some kidding aside, it’d be great to find spots like that all year. Alas, I’ll just settle for things I think can acrue some value moving forward. No totals this week, but I do like four sides for week 13 already:

Falcons +1.5 - expecting this defense to be much healthier off the bye

Washington -7.5 +100 - Lattimore may be back; nice rest spot for the ‘Manders off a Thanksgiving win. Sneed now to IR

Cleveland +6.5 -115 - I wish I had grabbed the +7 yesterday before the win, but even without upgrades, I make this close +4 and think it’s another decent matchup to keep things close.

Indy -2.5 - The Colts should be an offense that gets upgraded by the market, and this should be a good matchup for them, even on the road.

For This Sunday - Keeping an eye on:

weather

• BOMB CYCLONE/ATMOSPHERIC RIVER on the West Coast is causing problems, should see some rain in the NFC West battle of Arizona @ Seattle

• Nasty winds expected in the Meadowlands for Tampa @ NY Giants

• Green Bay hosting San Fran may be a little ishy. Low temps with some rain possible.

• It’s not looking terrible in Chicago right now, but the winds are projected in the 10-15 range and that can change yet.

injuries

A bunch of guys that may or may not play come Sunday that matter. This is the top of my list for names I’ll be tracking over the next 48 hours.

• 49ers: Brock Purdy, Trent Williams, & Nick Bosa. Three massive ones.

• Eagles WR Devonta Smith

• Tampa OT Tristan Wirfs

• Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb & Brandin Cooks

• Lions TE Sam LaPorta

• The Bears offensive line + D’Andre Swift

• Will Anderson Jr. among other Texans defenders

• Panthers WR Adam Thielen

• All the Raiders RBs and CBs

• Giants DL Kayvon Thibodeaux

Last Week: Kansas City had the ball and a chance to at least get the teaser home last week, but it just wasn’t meant to be. I understand the Bills are good, but there wasn’t really a world where I thought that the KC defense was going to be what kept me from cashing that in. Miami and Houston easily covered their teaser legs last week, Cincy got by and Atlanta no-call/no-showed as a +2.

It’s funny that there are a few of the same names this week, with the Phins and Texans right there again. I think Detroit will be uber popular as well, coming off their demolition, and as an Indy ATS backer, maybe I try to thread the needle. The Chargers off a tough game worries me a bit if the defense can’t get healthy, and the Rams are always difficult to project, especially against a very good Eagles offense.

Week 12 Teaser Rankings (Best to Worst, in my opinon)

See ya Sunday morning! Have a GREAT WEEKEND!