News

• The Raiders fired their special teams coach

• Josh Allen and Elijah Moore got hit with fines for doing “finger guns.”

• President Trump wants the new Commanders stadium to bear his name

Injuries 🤕

• Arizona Cardinals - will miss three defensive starters: Mack Wilson Sr.,, Will Johnson, and Max Melton are all out

• Atlanta Falcons - will continue to be thin at OL with Matthew Bergeron and Storm Norton unavailable, and Chris Lindstrom questionable.

• Carolina Panthers - Tet McMillan is expected to play

• Chicago Bears - D’Andre Swift is expected to play, as is Cole Kmet

• Cleveland Browns - Rookie TE Harold Fannin is trending towards playing, and Quinshon Judkins is good to go. WR Cedric Tillman is also expected to play.

• Houston Texans - CJ Stroud will miss the game with a concussion. It’ll be the Davis Mills show.

• Jacksonville Jaguars - Brian Thomas Jr is out with an ankle injury

• Los Angeles Chargers - T Bobby Hart is out, leaving lord knows who to start at the tackles for this team.

• Los Angeles Rams - Puka Nacua (chest) is good to go

• Miami Dolphins - Chop Robinson is OUT

• Minnesota Vikings - RB Aaron Jones is expected to play

• New England Patriots - Rhamondre Stevenson and Kayshon Bouttea are out

• New York Giants - Kicker Younghoe Koo was elevated to the active roster to take kicking duties today

• New York Jets - Garrett Wilson is expected to return from his knee injury. It’s being reported that Justin Fields will be the starter at QB this week.

• Pittsburgh Steelers - OL Isaac Seumalo has been ruled out for SNF

• San Francisco 49ers - Ricky Pearsall and Brock Purdy remain out

• Seattle Seahawks - Cooper Kupp has a chance to play, but he’s still being called “up in the air”. Tory Horton is expected to miss.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers - RT Luke Goedeke was activated from the IR and will play. Godwin and Irving remain out.

• Washington Commanders - Terry McLaurin remains out

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Weather ⛈

• NY Giants @ Chicago: some chances of rain or even snow, but the main issue will be high winds. 20 mph+ sustained winds with some heavy gusts in the 30s.

• Buffalo @ Miami: looking to be very rainy, but sporadically

• New England @ Tampa Bay: Also some chances of heavy rain

• Detroit @ Washington: More rain, which could be heavy at times.

• Cleveland @ NY Jets: High chance of some rain in the Meadowlands

• New Orleans @ Carolina: starting to look like it’ll be pretty breezy here as well, with some gusts nearing 30 mph

• Arizona @ Seattle: decent chances of some rain

Situational 📆

• Arizona is on a short week AND on the road for the second straight, facing Seattle after Monday night’s win vs Dallas

• Atlanta is technically on the road for the 2nd straight, but their opponent, the Colts, are also traveling (to Germany) and also played on the road last week.

• Baltimore has some extra rest off TNF, but also is on a back-to-back travel spot, facing Minnesota after roughing up the Dolphins

• Cleveland is coming off the bye week, but so is their opponent, the Jets.

• Jacksonville is playing a road game for the second straight week after last week’s OT win

• The Saints are on a back-to-back after making the trip out to LA last week

• Tampa Bay is coming off the bye week, hosting the Pats

Sunday Bets

Bigger card this week, but sometimes that’s just how it goes.

Pats +125

Time to finally bet on the kid in a matchup I think Maye can exploit. Not only am I lower than the market on the Bucs, but I also just don’t have very high marks for their pass defense, and I think this line should be much closer to a pick’em considering the matchups and the continued missing pieces for the Bucs offense.

Bears/Giants over 46.5

Weather be damned, these are some very lowly ranked defenses with a couple of young QBs that may not turn out to be great in the long run, but have shown enough that I think they can get it done against bottom five defenses.

Seattle -6.5 -110

A bit situational with Zona traveling again this week, but I think it’s a decent sell high spot for Brissett. He just faced the Dallas defense (likely the worst in the league) and now heads on the road to take on a divisional foe with what’s looking like a top-five unit. I haven’t even mentioned the fact that Darnold has been highly efficient and they added another weapon during the trade deadline. Hawks by a million.

NY Jets +115

I just can’t square the Browns being a road favorite, I don’t care how bad the Jets have been. I guess we’ll see how big of a step back their defense takes without Sauce and Quinnen, but this is still a road game for the worst starting QB in the league. I’m not excited to back the Jets (no one ever should be), I just think this number is incorrect.

Houston -105

Another gross one, backing Davis Mills behind a scrap head offensive line. That said, the defense absolutely should keep them in this game, and he really just needs to piece together a couple of good drives and has a pretty solid group of WRs to lean on. Another number I just think has gone too far in the wrong direction with a middling team getting too much road support.

ICYMI: My Week 10 Power Ratings

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