🍻Friday Free Bet: Free Prop Bet for London

Some bigger injury updates off the top to touch one before looking back at TNF:

Deshaun Watson

Watson is saying he’s planning like he’s playing but our friend Clevta raises a good point. I really think this is going to be DTR, and the market has shifted hard today.

Cleveland -2.5 is down to a Pk, the total was 40.5 and now sits at 39.

Jimmy G

Don’t know if we see Hoyer or AOC, either way, this isn’t looking great.

Anthony Richardson

Good to go, playing Sunday. Time to see what his TD prop prices will be

Carolina

• Bryce is going, no more Andy Dalton for now

• RB Miles Sanders is questionable with a groin injury

• WR Jonathan Mingo is still in the concussion protocol

• LB Frankie Luvu is questionable, Safety Xavier Woods is OUT. Not great news for a defense with Jaycee Horn and Shaq Thompson already on the IR (and Minnesota coming to town.)

• Nothing but Minnesota money still, out to 4.5-point road favorites now.

We talked about it for a while at halftime, Detroit is the 4th best team in the conference and has a soft schedule laid out. Outside shot of this team getting multiple home games in the playoffs if they can keep it rolling.

Fantasy folks are mad again about the Gibbs usage, but if Montgomery plays well, why force this issue with a younger player? The only knocks I’d have on Detroit were the lack of aggression with the lead in the 2nd half and a pretty poor decision right off the bat by Jared Goff on the early interception.

The pass rush was hot, nasty carnage all day and Jordan Love had happy feet and inaccurate throws, especially in the 1st half. Missing two OL didn’t help, but it was still pretty rough watching the GB offense in the 1st half.

Detroit OC Ben Johnson was masterful as usual but was aided by some really poor in-game management on the part of Green Bay. The tweet below shows them shifting to a defense that would be better served against a hail mary than at the 2-yard line (Detroit checked to run and waltzed in.)

Ineptitude on both sides of the ball and a kickoff returner refusing to just take the free yardage spelled doom for the Pack all night long.

Hat tip to Detroit, clearly the better team, but I don’t think Green Bay is dead, at least in terms of fighting for a wild card. If they can get fully healthy and clean up some of this stuff (the short week I know, but it was short for DET too!), they can salvage a season.

Last week got a bit weird with the Cardinals leading for most of the game, ruining the James Connor under play, but still 2-1 on the year for these Friday plays and we’ll be back at it.

This week, our friend at 4for4 is looking at the London game:

Obviously, follow Connor on Twitter for more NFL betting content, and get in the 4for4 Discord if you want to see everything he’s betting each week.

…and if you’re around this afternoon and want more free prop bets, be sure to check out the live stream on the 4for4Bets YouTube:

Last week’s teaser legs won on dogs and failed miserably with favorites. I guess it was regression week. Eventually, the Saints flipped favorites and GB was sitting at +1.5 Sunday morning (both sides covered teasers).

This week has a couple of odd ones. Miami is in the Wong zone, but has a really high total after a very wild week. Tennessee is a nice low-totaled game, but is facing a rash of injuries still, and KC is my least favorite type of teaser leg: Big road fav against a good defense.

Week 4 Teaser Rankings (Best to Worst)

Philly is -9 at a ton of place, but listing it anyways as it IS my favorite at 8.5

I’ll check back in on Sunday morning with the bets for the week, good luck if you’re betting on college/Ryder Cup/Baseball.