Week Six Power Ratings

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A quick aside on yesterday’s Jets news: I don’t see this making a big difference to much of anything. Maybe we get the interim bump, but that tends to happen with bad teams full of replacement-level players who all band together and go all out for a few weeks.

The Jets aren’t a bad team. In fact, the defense looked pretty decent last week in London. Rodgers throwing three pretty bad interceptions was undoubtedly the difference in a six-point loss, and until they get that cleaned up, I don’t know that we will see some big jump in performance.

Keeping Hackett and Todd Downing in charge of the offense is a damning indictment of ownership not understanding what the underlying issues are. Hell, if anything, I worry that this defense will regress with Saleh gone.

There may well be plenty of jostling yet later this week based on a few injuries, but it’s getting tight at the top again, and a strong second tier is emerging. Cleveland joins the cellar-dwellers, and we’ll wait for QB news in NO, IND, TEN, and maybe even BUF.

Philly 📈

Bye week couldn’t have come at a better time, and the addition of the two top WRs, plus Lane Johnson, should have this team playing much better than the last time we saw them (getting throttled by the Bucs on the road). It is not only good for a power rating bump, but it also makes this team much more watchable.

Other upgrades: DEN, WAS, ATL, LAC

• Denver’s defense is playing very well right now, even after losing a key LB. Tons of guys are stepping up for Vance Joseph.

• My Washington rating is once again sliding up despite Jayden Daniels seeing his accuracy dip down. This defense is starting to find a little bit of a pass rush (the secondary is still very bad).

• Kirk Cousins looks healthy.

• The Bolts are getting a small bump for looking like they’ll be coming off the bye week healthier at some key spots.

New Orleans 📉

Obviously, but it’s worth talking about how much this downgrade is. I don’t know if there’s much of a difference between Jake Haener and Spencer Rattler. I do know there’s a sizable gap between either of them and Carr, despite the version of him we saw facing a tough defense on Monday. I’m making it roughly a 6-point downgrade, similar to the Dolphins QB downgrade and the initial price for Love to Willis.

Additionally, this offensive line is suffering perhaps even more than the Browns. Terrible timing for an inexperienced QB.

Other downgrades: CLE, NE, BUF, HOU

• The Browns’ number was holding on by a thread for me as I was maybe forcing myself to see something that wasn’t there for Watson. I can’t really hang on to any pre-season priors at this juncture, this is a bad team.

• New England is going to a rookie QB behind a bad and injured offensive line. Brissett isn’t great, but this is a downgrade.

• Buffalo is a team that was probably just rated too highly for me based on the opponents they’ve played. Shakir and Cook being banged up isn’t helping.

• Houston is a small bump down for the Nico Collins injury. I don’t love making single-player-non-QB adjustments, but the man, did they look bad after he left.

Things my raw numbers are telling me are worth a bet:

Cincy -3.5, Tampa Bay -3.5, Dallas +3, Philly -8.5, Jets +2/ML, LAC/DEN u36, ARI/GB o48, JAX/CHI u45.

I haven’t bet any of these yet; this is just the stuff that pops on a spreadsheet and will be dug into initially. Some of these have had sizeable moves already (Green Bay total has been bet down, I’m eyeing becoming the resistance there)

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I’ll keep my injury notes in article form again and should have more time to include practice reports for Wednesday-Friday this week:

🚨Podcast Tonight🚨

And, of course, we’ll be going over each game in detail tonight at 7 pm ET. Up in podcast form tomorrow morning.