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News 📰

• With Cooper Kupp looking to be off of the trade block, a couple of other names have emerged as the trade deadline looms.

• After a long, drawn-out holdout, the Jets’ Haason Reddick is under contract and could play this week.

• Roquan Smith was fined $16,833 for the hip drop tackle that injured Chris Godwin.

Pick Your Side, Win Real Cash

Injuries 🤕

• Jayden Daniels may still end up playing today.

• Tee Higgins is suddenly in doubt for today’s game with a quad injury he suffered at practice. He said he’s feeling better, but the team will still be cautious about it.

• Back to Bryce Young for the Panthers with Andy Dalton out (thumb). Both Dionte Johnson and Adam Thielen will be out as well for Carolina.

• Jags RB Travis Etienne is expected to be out again this week

• While he will warm up and test the knee out, DK Metcalf appears to be a long shot to play.

• JuJu Smith-Schuster is OUT for KC

• The 49ers will continue to be shorthanded: Jauan Jennings is expected to miss with a hip injury. Kittle is projected to be a full go this week.

• Jets WR Allen Lazard (chest) is doubtful for this week

• WRs trading the right way: Chris Olave, Deebo Samuel, Jakobi Meyers, Damario Douglas, Calvin Ridley, Tyreek Hill, and Ladd McConkey.

• OUT: WR Quentin Johnston, WR Curtis Samuel, WR Jameson Williams (drug suspension, not injury), WR Ja’Lynn Polk, TE Dallas Goedert, RB Jerome Ford, RB Tyjae Spears, QB Derek Carr.

For the Latest Injury Updates, be sure to have the Bleacher Nation Fantasy App

Weather ⛈

• Buffalo @ Seattle - It is almost certainly going to be raining (95%+ chance) with some winds blowing 15 mph with gusts in the 20s.

• Some winds nearly the 15 mph threshold in a couple of other spots, but it shouldn’t be an issue in Miami based on how the stadium blocks the wind. The SNF game between Dallas and San Francisco may see the winds kick up in the Bay Area a bit.

Situational 📆

• BAL@CLE - Baltimore is on a short week off of Monday Night Football

• GB@JAX - it’s a home game, but the Jags did have to travel back from Europe after spending a week and a half there.

• ARI@MIA - The Cards are on short rest off of MNF

• ATL@TB - Tampa Bay has a short week coming off of MNF

• CHI@WAS - The Bears are off of the bye

• NYJ@NE - the Jets are playing in the second straight week on the road

• NO@LAC - WIDOWMAKER: New Orleans has extra rest coming off of TNF, while the Chargers played on MNF.

• PHI@CLE - The Eagles are on the road for the second straight week

• KC@LV - The Chiefs are traveling for the second straight week.

• CAR@DEN - Carolina is on the second week of a back-to-back at altitude. Denver is coming off TNF and has extra rest.

• DAL@SF - Dallas is coming off their bye week.

Sunday Bets

Hopefully, they call facemasks today. I was also on Tampa Bay in the first matchup against Atlanta (lost in OT), where a missed facemask call was highly consequential. Either way, I soldier on.

Philly ML +125

Playing on a team that’s fully willing to lean heavily into the run game on offense with what might be the best running QB/RB combo (if Baltimore did not exist.) Cincinnati is 27th in rush EPA/play against, 30th is run stop success rate, and 30th in 1st downs given up per game on the ground. The Tee Higgins news would just be icing on the cake.

Cleveland +8.5

Trying to buy low on Jameis? The more I look at the stats for Deshaun Watson, the more I think that this may be an even bigger upgrade than I initially made it. Missing Amari Cooper stinks, but the rest of the injury news is tilted in the Browns favor with Wyatt Teller probably coming back and the Ravens now down two cornerbacks in a secondary that’s already been attackable. This is the opposite of the Eagles game; I hope they NEVER run the ball. Played some Njoku props as well.

Miami -4

Even at the lower end of his pricing range, Tua is a massive upgrade compared to the QBs we’ve seen in his absence. This should be a good week for us to be reminded that this offense has 4-5 speedy weapons that should be able to absolutely work a bottom-of-the-league defense that just lost two more starters in Dennis Gardeck and Sean Murphy-Bunting.

Seattle +3

Another play against a pass defense that should be exploitable even without DK Metcalf. Hell, maybe even more so if they are forced to focus on the short to intermediate stuff with JSN and Lockett. The Bills don’t give up a ton of big plays through the air: their yardage per attempt and completion are on the lower side of the league’s defensive numbers. But their EPA/play, success rate, completions per game, 1st downs per game through the air, and yardage against are all 19th or worse. They can be beat with a patient, efficient approach. My pricing makes this Buffalo -0.52, I'm happy to get a FG here.

49ers/Cowboys under 47

Maybe Dalvin Cook steps into this offense and gives it a boost, but I somehow doubt it. Between the injuries for the 49ers, their matchup against the Dallas run defense, and the ineptness of the Cowboy’s playcalling/run game/game planning, I have this projected as a much lower total. A 49ers lead would be ideal game state for Jordan Mason grinding out drives while Dallas faces the San Fran pass rush over and over.

Went over every game with Drew Wednesday night, time stamps are added to help you skip around if you just need to be talked into something on one specific game. Also available as a podcast if you want to listen whilst you prepare your Sunday soup.

My Power Ratings Update for the Week

The Deep Dive Week Eight Preview Show

Deep Dive Week Eight Preview Podcast (Apple | Spotify)

4for4 Free Player Props Livestream

and finally, in honor of YET ANOTHER PRIMETIME GIANTS GAME

One last thing, do me a favor and forward this email to someone you think may like a little more football in their life.