Massive win for their 1-seed equity as they stay a full game clear of the Detroit Lions. Still some tough games coming up (BUF, SF, @DAL) over the next few weeks, but for now the Eagles are your Super Bowl favorites.

The Chiefs probably deserved a better fate, but self-inflicted wounds still bleed. The drops, the late red zone fumble, and the inability to get stops on the two second-half Philadelphia touchdown drives will be tough to watch when they go over the film.

KC outgained Philly by almost 100 yards, but when both of your turnovers come inside the 10-yard line, that sort of thing matters less.

I think the Chiefs will be fine, they have one of the easiest schedules remaining and no real competition to win their division. Essentially, they need to use the next 7 weeks to sort out the wide receiver room and figure out a way to scheme guys not named Travis open.

Betting: Skyy Moore saw a ton of snaps and even ran more routes than I expected, but only had one catch for 4 yards to cash the under 15.5. Jalen Hurts was dangerously close to getting over his rushing total on a play that was called back for holding, but I suppose that would have been even more painful when he would have dipped back under on the kneel-downs. 1-1 on the props.

I said we’d more than likely take the 2nd half under and I did not lie. We got back in the W column last night at halftime in preparation for the upcoming holiday.

Week 11 Quick Thoughts

Pittsburgh 10 - Cleveland 13

Cleveland had a plan and executed it: play field position with your insane defense and hope to get one or two drives going. The Steelers’ offense is an abomination and someone should be fired or benched (update: someone was)

Chicago 26 - Detroit 31

Fields looked decent coming off the injury, this Lions’ defense may be a liability against good teams in January. Goff making up for early mistakes with two great drives late has me hopeful for every Detroit game to be extremely fun at least.

LA Chargers 20 - Green Bay 23

I won’t go through all the things that it took for the Chargers to somehow lose, but instead, focus on how bad their defense has looked. This is the most points Green Bay has scored since week 1 and the Packers had far more explosive plays than they ever should. Losing Bosa only exacerbates this. I think this is Staley’s last year at the helm.

Las Vegas 13 - Miami 20

Dolphins had 422 total yards but a pair of fumbles, a turnover on downs inside the red zone, a missed FG, an arm punt, and a partridge in a pear tree. They were lucky to be playing the Raiders at home. AOC made enough mistakes of his own to absolve them of their sins and sneak a win. Tua could have been better, but there were drops.

NY Giants 31 - Washington 19

This was an embarrassing loss I suppose, but the Sam Howell experience is a bit of a roller coaster ride. It doesn’t matter who’s at QB for the other team, you’re not going to win games where you lose the turnover battle 6-0. (I checked, and teams are 0-38 since 1989, the last one was the “Peterman Game”).

Dallas 33 - Carolina 10

Dallas beats up on a bad team, pretty standard fare for them. The pick-six made this look like more of a drubbing than it was. Dallas appeared to just be going through the motions since Carolina couldn’t even muster 200 total yards.

Tennessee 14 - Jacksonville 34

Calvin Ridley got moved around and it seemed to unlock the connection between Lawrence and him a bit. Going forward, the Jags are going to need this sort of performance because the defense still isn’t good, Levis just made it look that way at times.

Arizona 16 - Houston 21

Houston continuously moved the ball down the field but had a few drives end on turnovers well on the other side of the 50. Massive matchup coming this weekend for control of the division, going to need to execute and finish against Jacksonville. For AZ, Murray looked good again and is doing it with guys like Greg Dortch.

Tampa Bay 14 - San Francisco 27

Purdy was clean and efficient, but this SF coverage unit looked a little lost at times against good WRs. Obviously, the 49ers would have turned it up a bit late if they needed to, but Tampa had 4 drives of 50 or more yards and Hufunga is now out for the year. This may be an over team when facing opponents that can throw.

NY Jets 6 - Buffalo 32

Jets offense not mustering anything versus a shell of a Buffalo defense was not great and now we’ve moved on to Tim Boyle (oh boy). Buffalo didn’t honestly look that much better than last week despite the score. Two nice long drives after halftime in a sea of punts and long FGs.

Seattle 16 - LA Rams 17

If Geno misses time, that’s an issue even with a pretty pathetic group of teams chasing the wildcard spots in the NFC. The endgame in this one was funny/sad on both sides with McVay mismanaging the final scoring drive and Carroll somehow deciding that 55 yards was plenty close for the game-winning FG attempt.

We will be LIVE at 6 pm ET tonight on YouTube, with the podcast up shortly after. So hop in if you’re around, we love the live chat’s commentary and questions.

Gonna keep it brief since like every single game is seeing some decent action one way or another, we’ll discuss the line movement more on the show tonight.

GB/DET total getting blasted to the over

Opened 45 and is up to 47.5. Two bad defenses but, on a short week. This is a lot of trust in Jordan Love in my opinion.

Washington/Dallas Total up to 48.5

This opened at 46.5 and crossed the 48 on Monday. I guess folks are expecting the good version of Sam Howell (or Dallas in a bloodbath).

SF -6.5 bouncing on Geno news

The 49ers opened at -6.5 and got bet out to -7, but some hopeful news on Geno Smith’s health seems to have this back under a TD for now.

Jets up to 10-point dogs on QB switch

I guess if anything, Zach Wilson can hand his hat on the fact that the betting markets think he’s an upgrade from Tim Boyle. This opened up at -7.5 and is now 10 across the board.

Pitt/Cincy down to 34

Not a move in this week’s markets as much, as the highest I saw this anywhere on Sunday was 35, just wanted to point out that the look-ahead was 41.5 with Burrow. This game is expected to stink out loud.

Indy taking money, out to -2.5

Despite some nice offense last week from Tampa, the market is slowly moving up on the Colts off their bye.

Giants/Pats total down to 33.5

Down from 35, even without Belichick committing to a QB yet. The Giants have also taken some money down to +3 from the +5 opener

Jacksonville/Houston up to 48.5

Opening as low as 46, this has been steady over money for the two young QBs. Slight shift on the side with this flipping from Houston -1 to Jacksonville -1 as well.

Cleveland/Denver down to 35.5

This was another one that was 41.5 on the look-ahead and had to take a massive adjustment before opening based on the QB news. Karim Jackson is suspended for the 2nd time this year, but it’s still Cleveland.

Arizona taking money

The Cardinals opened +2.5 and are now down to a PK at some places. Cooper Kupp’s status likely looms large here.