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More firings as Black Monday rolls well into Wednesday!

I understand getting rid of Luke Getsy for the Bears, but wonder what the plan is and why they are opting to keep Eberflus for another year if this is a reset.

Some speculation that this would mean Justin Fields is done as a Bears starter. I’d agree that giving him yet another offense to learn doesn’t seem like a great idea, but what do I know? I suppose it’s time to start a running list of all the coaching changes and get it into an article.

Wasting my time updating Power Ratings for teams that are done for the year seemed dumb, but so did making a Tier Graphic with just the playoff teams, so here we are.

Lowest Playoff Team: Tampa Bay

Highest Eliminated Team: New Orleans

Gap Between SF/BAL and the field: still sizable

I’ll have my full power numbers for the 12 teams playing tonight during the Deep Dive Wild Card Weekend Preview and compare where I stand to the market in general and if I’m making a wager based on any differences.

Half joking about building these numbers for teams that won’t be playing this week, I DO need to have some sort of priors to start next September’s pricing with, even if it turns out to be wildly wrong on half the teams per the norm.

Speaking of, I pulled my pre-week one ratings and sorted by biggest differences, assuming most would be QB stuff. But with Browning playing well in Cincy and my expectations for Minnesota being low-ish to start the season, not all the catastrophic quarterback injuries made the list. On the other hand, the biggest upgrades were nearly all centered around QBs staying healthy and playing near the top of their range.

Five Biggest Upgrades 📈

• Baltimore - Was wary of Lamar’s rust and the new OC

• San Francisco - Was VERY wary of Purdy’s health coming into the year

• Houston - Stroud was orders of magnitude better than I thought he could have been

• Miami - Tua’s jiu-jitsu lessons paid off, he played all 17 games

• LA Rams - Didn’t see Puka coming, thought Kupp may have been dust

Five Biggest Downgrades 📉

• NY Jets - Tough Break not having a real QB for 99.9% of the season

• Washington - Same as above, plus they traded away Chase/Sweat

• LA Chargers - This number reflects Stick at QB, but they were still much lower than where they started before Herbert went down

• New England - Mac/Zappe/Everyone else on offense showed little

• Carolina - Might have drafted the wrong QB

Weather

Three dome games, leaving just the other three to look at. One with wind, one with cold, and one with Florida weather.

Miami @ Kansas City: Cold as hell. Game Temps in the single digits, closing in on zero by the 4th quarter. Winds are projected for a moderate 10-15 mph right now but even that will send the “wind chill” or “real feel temps” down below zero in a hurry.

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo: 25 mph winds still forecasted. Probably some snow.

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay: This is Monday night, so it’s a ways out to be calling for anything. There are some rain chances, but it’s Florida and it’s five days away, so I wouldn’t bank on it one way or the other.

Join us Live Tonight

Going over all six matchups tonight at 8 PM ET. I’ll be spending the afternoon updating the injury news and checking in on the Buffalo weather. Stop by and drop your questions, comments, or prop bets you like this weekend.