Injuries 🤕

• Arizona Cardinals

  • Everyone is hurt. Marvin Harrison Jr, Emari Demercado, Trey Benson, Max Melton, Walter Nolan, Greg Dortch, Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, and L.J. Collier are out

• Atlanta Falcons

  • Drake London remains out

• Baltimore Ravens

  • Lamar Jackson finished the week as a full participant after some early week scares

• Buffalo Bills

  • Terrel Bernard and Joey Bosa are out for this defense.

  • TE Dalton Kincaid is going to try to play

• Chicago Bears

  • Rome Odunze will miss this game with a foot injury

  • LB T.J. Edwards will return this week

  • Tyrique Stevenson remains out

• Cincinnati Bengals

  • Trey Hendrickson is once again out

  • Tee Higgins is cleared of the protocol and expected to go

• Cleveland Browns

  • RT Jack Conklin and RG Wyatt Teller are both out

• Denver Broncos

  • DT D.J. Jones is out

• Green Bay Packers

  • WR Jayden Reed is activated and will play

  • Lukas Van Ness is out again, joining Devonte Wyatt and Collin Oliver

• Houston Texans

  • Jaylen Reed and Jamal Hill will miss for the defense.

• Indianapolis Colts

  • Sauce Gardner remains out

• Jacksonville Jaguars

  • OT Walker Little is out with a concussion

  • Parker Washington is out as well

• Kansas City Chiefs

  • OLs Trey Smith and Jawaan Taylor are likely out

• Las Vegas Raiders

  • TE Michael Mayer is out

• Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarian Hampton will make his return to the backfield

• Los Angeles Rams

  • Davante Adams is fine after being limited earlier in the week

• Miami Dolphins

  • Safeties S Elijah Campbell and Ifeatu Melifonwu are questionable

• Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron Jones is good to go

  • JJ McCarthy is returning from his concussion

  • Christian Darrisaw is expected to play

• New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin Kamara is out, as are OT Taliese Fuaga and S Justin Reid

• New York Jets

  • S Tony Adams is listed as questionable but should go after practicing on Friday

• Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Kyle Duggar and Derrick Harmon are out for the defense

• Seattle Seahawks

  • Julian Love looks good to go.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Mike Evans isn’t returning just yet, despite practicing, and the same with Jalen McMillan

  • OT Tristan Wirfs (oblique) is not expected to play today

• Tennessee Titans

  • Center Lloyd Cushenberry remains out

• Washington Commanders

  • Jayden Daniels is expected to return from his elbow injury

  • OT George Fant is out

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Weather ⛈

• Indy at Jacksonville: Rain all day. Winds should be mild, but it’ll be wet for most of the day

• Tennessee at Cleveland: Should be snowing during most of the game. Not enough to accumulate heavily, but still will be messy. Winds are currently closer to 10 mph than 15, but could always ramp up.

• New Orleans at Tampa Bay: Chances of rain or even thunderstorms today

• Cincinnati at Buffalo: Snow, maybe up to a couple of inches, with some accumulations starting this morning. Winds should stay light enough.

Situational 📆

• Chicago is playing their second straight road game, but it is also getting some extra rest, coming off the Friday game. Unfortunately, their opponent, the Packers, also have extra time to prepare after playing last Thursday.

• Cincinnati is in a similar spot: extra rest off the Thanksgiving win, but playing back-to-back road games heading to Buffalo.

• Denver is on a back-to-back travel spot in Las Vegas

• Houston is as well, playing in KC after last week’s win in Indy. Kansas City has extra rest coming into the game after playing last on Thanksgiving.

• The Rams are traveling for the second straight week, albeit a much shorter trip to Arizona after last week’s game in Carolina.

• The Saints are playing on the road for the second straight week, as they head back to Florida to take on Tampa after last week’s game in Miami

Sunday Bets

Favorites and overs. Trying to break up a nice winning streak with some chalk donkey plays.

Seattle -6.5 -115

Maybe I’m still too rosy on an offense that’s taken a bit of a downturn as of late, but I think this is just a lighter version of the Vikings game: the defense should be able to limit the London-less Falcons to very little, and we won’t need some big offensive output to cover this number. I understand the steam off the early week number, but now that we’re under a touchdown, I’ll be the buyback.

Rams/Cards 1st Half Over 24 +102

Yeah, I love the Rams to impose their will offensively again here, especially considering the defensive injuries for Arizona, but as we’ve mentioned a few times on the show, the loss of Quentin Lake for the Rams has been meaningful, and this is an Arizona team that doesn’t mind pushing the ball downfield quite a bit. Outside of the chess match that was SEA-LAR a few weeks back, Rams games have averaged roughly a thousand first half points per game over the past 6 weeks.

Devon Achane over 82.5 Rushing Yards -108

Not going to list out the “he’s gone over this total in x outta y games” since that sorta thing doesn’t matter and each game is very unique. The Jets simply aren’t very good, but backing Tua to cover a number on the road, in the cold, feels awful, so I pivoted to a game state prop. I rate the Jets’ defense fairly low after the trades and have continued to drop the run stop. If we can get a positive game state for Miami, this should/could/would fly over for Achane.

Podcast/Livestream for the Week:

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