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With our ratings COMPLETE, we plugged them all into the Unabated simulator and let it spit out what our best bets for the year were. No surprise, my net worth is supposed to go towards backing the Atlanta Falcons to win the next three Super Bowls.

There were a few surprises for sure, you can check it out here:

Onto the east, for another quick TL;DR of our hour-long previews.

Philadelphia Eagles

My 2nd-ranked offense currently, but 21st rated defense. I’ve got the Eagles as with the highest median wins in the league, somewhat due to schedule. Looking at roughly 11-12 wins if they keep it all together through the winter for once.

Strengths

They are vying for the top offensive line again, even after losing a HOF center. Jordan Mailata and Lane Johnson at tackles, with Landon Dickerson at RG. The young guard, Cam Jurgens, who’s been groomed to take over for Kelce by playing next to him and listening to him identify defenses, gets the nod at center. Right guard is the only question mark with both men (Mekhi Becton and Tyler Steen) dealing with injuries at the moment.

Weaknesses

Coverage unit is messy again. Slay took a step back and is old, Isaiah Rodgers spent last year serving a gambling suspension, and there will be some reliance on the rookies Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean. Reed Blankenship is a good coverage safety but it’ll be hard to hold it together after today’s bad news for James Bradberry:

Wildcard

Building on the last point, they at least attempted to fix a broken and battered secondary by drafting two corners to start their 2024 draft. Isaiah Rodgers DID have a good 2022 before getting busted for playing some SGPs, and maybe considering Bradberry’s year, trying out some of the youth may not actually be a downgrade.

With some strength up front, if this unit gets it together, it’ll move my defensive power rating pretty quickly and aggressively in Philly.

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Dallas Cowboys

Current projections are between 10.1 and 10.7 wins for the Cowboys, depending which way I’m simming the season. It's my 13th-rated offense and 8th-rated defense with upside on both sides of the ball in a perfect world.

Strengths

Pass defense could be elite if healthy. Diggs and Bland is a high-end corner duo (when Bland returns) with very nice compliments at safety in Donovan Wilson and Malik Hooker and a couple of above-average coverage linebackers in Eric Kendrick and Damone Clark.

Add in a dash of the best thing to elevate a secondary (a good pass rush), and this looks like a pain in the ass for opposing QBs.

Weaknesses

in meme form (also, the run stop needs to get better)

Wildcard

The rebuilt offensive line. On the podcast, Drew said he was impressed with how they looked in the preseason, which has me wondering about doing some rewatches of the parts of the game where we saw starters, but until I see it against a fully implemented defensive game plan, I’m going to be low.

Washington Commanders

BIG gulf between the top and bottom of this division. 28th rated offense and the 31st best defense in my number currently. 5-12 is my median projection for this squad, but anytime we have a big unknown at QB, that long tail to the good can be quite lengthy.

Strengths

Uh, run game? Austin Ekeler may be past his most useful years, but I think he’s still fine as a short-yardage guy/part of a committee, and Brian Robinson is still early on enough to hope for some more upside. It was hard to find bright spots here, but I’d expect some volume, if nothing else, as they try to ease their first-year quarterback into it.

Weaknesses

Bad pass rush + bad secondary. Which is a bad combo.

Overall, this is my 31st-rated defense, and it’s going to be a while before they get out of that basement. It’s a hodgepodge of rookies (Mike Sainristil, Johnny Newton), reclamation projects (Clelin Ferrel, Michael Davis), aging vets like Bobby Wagner, and a couple of viable quality players in Jonathan Allen and Frankie Luvu.

The interior defensive line should be ok, but edge, coverage, and run stop from the 2nd and 3rd levels could all be rough.

Wildcard

Daniels, for sure, right? I’m hot garbage at predicting how a QB will play coming out of college, but I’m pretty sure the rest of my numbers for this team are staying pretty close to where they started.

There are a lot of possibilities for a rookie year, from Ryan Leaf’s to Justin Herbert’s (hell, that’s just one franchise), and most of my Washington rating will hinge on how the young QB plays.

New York Giants

31st best offense, 28th defense and just a shade behind the Commanders for now. Again, somewhere in the range of 5 wins unless the offense takes a big step forward with the new play-caller.

Strengths

Pass rush! Dexter Lawrence, Brian Burns, maybe a little step forward from Kayvon Thibodeaux. He may need to help out a defense that will again roll out Cor'Dale Flott at one of the boundary corners.

Weaknesses

Offensive everything? Can the injection of a highly touted rookie wide receiver bring Daniel Jones back toward the middle of the pack and allow this team to get some league-average quarterback play?

The left side of the offensive line looks good with Andrew Thomas and steady vet Jon Runyan, but it’s downhill quickly from there.

Not only do they need their first-round pick to work out quickly, others will have to step up and play above where they have previously (Singletary, Bellinger, Hyatt, etc.)

Wildcard

Brian Daboll will call plays this year with OC Mike Kafka, given an assistant HC title, and stepping aside in that regard.

I hesitate to rush to judgment on this one and instead just have it as a big “thing to watch for” early on in the season in case we see sweeping changes in the offensive philosophy (for the good or bad) that have me adjusting how I’m pricing this teams.

Have a solid Thursday, enjoy the college football if that’s your bag.