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Mock Draft 2.0, One Month to Go
Risers, fallers, hype-beasts, and 1st Round sleepers
First off, I have a strong theory about all the “information” that’s been disseminated into the world over the past week or so. We do this every year, and for the most part, I wonder how much the amount of clicks a post or article will get has to do with how a rumor is phrased.
“Nabers is excellent, teams like him” doesn’t hit the same as “Nabers over Harrison? A new top WR in the draft! Read why teams have the LSU product at the top of their board!!!”
Nothing in life is guaranteed, and lordy, we’ve seen some front offices go in completely different directions than the tea leaves were reading, but for the most part, while the world’s collective attention turns to March Madness, the hot takes need to ramp up in a big way to turn them back (it’s funny that Nabers is MURDERING his pro day as I write this, but the point still stands).
You certainly can’t rule anything out, but this is the fun part; the draft is now four weeks away and the noise isn’t going to get any quieter.
Tightening up my mock is tricky. Coaches quotes, pro days, free agent signings, and new “info” are all piling in, as well as mocks from well-respected folks who do this much better than I.
Before I throw my 32 darts, a couple of things I liked this week:
Arjuns Front Office Draft Capital Allocation Chart
You still need the context of certain teams continuing to have certain needs over the years, but this goes back to 2011 and covers the top 100 picks for each year.
Looking specifically at top 100 picks going back to 2011, here's how much draft capital each GM has allocated to each position in their tenure. Color scheme should help to identify which GMs use the most resources at certain positions with their premium picks
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100)
2:57 PM • Mar 27, 2024
CLEVTA’s GM Draft Trends
Looking at the problem from a different point of view, another nice chart looks a little further into age, RAS score, and how often they went to a premium position.
Got some good feedback on the GM draft trends posted yesterday. Thought I'd look to more recent drafts (since 2019) as data/analytics has evolved more. Some GMs have evolved as well. Also looking at RAS scores but filtering out QBs. 1st round only and 1st and 2nd rounds are… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
— Clevta (@Clevta)
7:43 PM • Mar 27, 2024