🍺Friday Free Bet: Prop Bet for Texans/Colts

I’ll admit I was a bit lost without Thursday Night Football last night. Sure, golf from Hawaii being on helped a bit, but with no Monday game last week either, this is a massive gap between football, one we haven’t seen since before the season. Luckily we have the standalone games tomorrow, which of course means an extra newsletter digging in on those games a bit tomorrow morning.

Connor is STILL somehow on vacation, but like a real mensch, has been taking all of my questions and even doing shows/meetings from a hotel room. I bugged him extra early this morning and our friend at 4for4 gave me a prop for the Saturday night game:

Nico Collins over 71.5 receiving yards -114 

Obviously, follow Connor on Twitter for more NFL betting content, and get in the 4for4 Discord if you want to see everything he’s betting each week.

Again, WHILE ONE VACATION, Connor will be giving us some more props live on the YouTubes with Ryan and Slop this afternoon. Worth checking out in a weird week.

So many meaningful injuries in key spots that a few teams are getting their own sub-heading. My afternoon will be tracking Friday injury reports with golf on in the background.

Dolphins

• CB Xavien Howard is out

• Achane continues to be limited with his toe and hip injuries

• Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert are getting work in to help determine if they can play Sunday Night

• Tyreek is back at practice after dealing with his house starting on fire

• G Robert Hunt should be good to go

Jaguars

• Christian Kirk is working his way back but the team needs to see more before he would be activated. Game-Time Decision

• Trevor Lawrence is still day-to-day with his shoulder injury. Questionable at best and likely another game-time decision.

• Zay Jones has been limited by his knee and hamstring injuries

Packers

• WR Dontayvion Wicks was a full go on Thursday. Jaire Alexander, De’Vondre Campbell, and center Josh Myers all practiced in full

• Aaron Jones, Luke Musgrave, Jayden Reed and, Christian Watson were all limited. Friday’s practice report will be worth hunting down.

Texans

• Jonathan Greenard and Noah Brown are ruled out already for Saturday

• Will Anderson, Robert Woods, and Laremy Tunsil are listed as questionable. Reports are that Anderson and Tunsil are playing though.

More…

• Will Levis was limited Thursday ahead of this week’s game vs the Jags

• Baker Mayfield is a full go according to Todd Bowles

• DeVonta Smith and CB Darius Slay both missed Friday's Practice, not a good sign for Sunday's availability vs the G-Men

• The Seahawks saw KWII return as a limited participant Thursday but still have a handful of defenders (along with OT Abe Lucas) not practicing ahead of a must-win game.

• Josh Jacobs did not practice on Thursday. If he doesn’t get reps in later today, I’m thinking he’s likely out again

• Denver: Courtland Sutton is still in concussion protocol but is getting reps. May play on Sunday. His teammate Marvin Mims was also limited. Mike McGlinchey DNP on Thursday and his status is very much in doubt.

• Ja’Marr Chase is practicing and looks to play, we’ll see on Tee Higgins.

• The Vikings had a bit of a laundry list of DNPs on Thursday including both starting tackles and a couple of CBs.

• Jameson Williams is unlikely to play versus Minnesota (ankle & illness). DT Alim McNeill is back and will play for Detroit this weekend.

I made last week’s rankings red so that the green would really stand out today, and the Eagles robbed me.

Not only that, but I threw the Falcons into a teaser since I “didn’t want to just bet Green Bay twice” for the newsletter. The Saints and Packers win outright with ease. The Falcons look like hell. Of course.

Another light week and an outside shot at a Saturday-only home team dog teaser if the Baltimore steam keeps coming. I may do it anyway to add to my misery with one extra bet on the Ravens to sweat in the afternoon. A couple are close and may possibly find their way into some teaser areas:

Keep an eye on: Cincy -7 and Chicago +3 as a couple that may end up moving a touch before game time.

Week 18 Teaser Rankings (Best to Worst)

Like I said, I’ll check back in tomorrow with some breakdowns of the Saturday games, as well as anything I’m betting on. Have a great Friday.