I don’t want to spend a ton of time on this one, not just because it was bad, but because I don’t think there were really any surprises.

The Bears’ defense played a pretty good game, they only gave up six points. Going in we knew they were on the come up and the Panthers were having very little success on the ground; it was going to come down to Bryce Young if the Panthers wanted to pull off the upset. Not the recipe you wanna go with, but it is what it is.

Bryce did have one pretty nice sideline throw to Mike Strachan, but the rest of the game was pretty rough even against a Bears pass rush that is still struggling to convert pressure into sacks (they did get three last night!)

In the end that 45-yard pass ended up being nearly a quarter of the total offense for the night. That drive and the later series that began at the Bears 40 yard line both ending in FGs were a nice microcosm for the 2023 Panthers offense. Even when they find a rare big play or are gifted some good field position, they can’t capitalize.

Sweat had a nice day and should continue to help this Bears’ front line, and again they looked really stingy against the run. Neither team really got much going on the ground, but the Bears limited Carolina to just 2.7 yards per rush on 16 total carries.

The two teams combined to go 9-30 on third downs and both rookies threw some incredibly bad passes. It was never going to be a good game, I guess at least we had the punt return excitement.

Nice small bet winner at halftime as we tailed a sharp friend on the 2nd half under 19 on the halftime stream. The Bears getting a TD midway through the 3rd quarter had me a touch worried, but seeing the other five drives that filled out the 3rd go for a combined 26 yards and five punts was a comfort.

And just because I haven’t really said anything nice yet, here’s a good clip of some solid pass rush pickup by the new RoJo:

Free Prop Play

Fading the Raiders’ Defense This Week

As is Friday tradition, I wait for a Slack message from Connor giving me a prop to help fill up the Friday newsletter. Little shocked when it finally came and it was an over rather than his usual fade of a player, but I’m all for this one, the Raiders’ run defense is laughably bad.

Breece Hall over 63.5 rushing yards -115

From Connor:

“I not only like the over but ladders as well. Breece has seen 20 touches per game since Robert Saleh said they are letting Breece loose and now he draws one of the best matchups imaginable. The Las Vegas Raiders run defense has been truly pathetic no matter how you slice it. They are 30th in rushing success rate allowed, 4.65 yards per carry to opposing RBs, and are top-7 in % of runs to gain 1,3,5, and 10 yards.

They have allowed 8 running backs to clear 65 rushing yards already, four to clear 90, and two to clear 100. This includes absolute dustballs like Craig Reynolds (74), AJ Dillon (76), Joshua Kelley (65), and Najee Harris (65).”

Obviously, follow Connor on Twitter for more NFL betting content, and get in the 4for4 Discord if you want to see everything he’s betting each week.

More Free Prop Plays

Three prop bettors, a couple of free plays each. There should be at least a half dozen more given out this afternoon over on the 4for4 Bets YouTube if you want to fill out that Sunday card with some prop plays:

Arizona +2 vs Atlanta (teased to +8)

Buffalo -7.5 vs Denver (teased to -1.5)

New England +2 vs Indy (teased to +8) IN GERMANY

What’s on the Docket for Sunday?

• Injury Updates for all the week 10 action

• A free defensive player prop from Noonan

• All the bets, all the action